Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.071383 0.079071 0.087511 0.097513 0.109105 0.122191 0.138190
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.059151 0.069395 0.081561 0.097269 0.117300 0.142394 0.176875
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.051580 0.063256 0.078008 0.098438 0.126703 0.165564 0.225198
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.046157 0.058645 0.075235 0.099597 0.135774 0.189877 0.282110
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041958 0.054882 0.072783 0.100422 0.144103 0.214651 0.347713
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.038377 0.051417 0.070118 0.100256 0.150560 0.237677 0.418555
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.035171 0.048065 0.067102 0.098915 0.154600 0.257263 0.490489
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.033258 0.046368 0.066302 0.100894 0.164565 0.290240 0.606609
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030869 0.043694 0.063640 0.099275 0.167536 0.309971 0.701296
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.029305 0.042137 0.062572 0.100230 0.175544 0.342714 0.851072
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027624 0.040241 0.060730 0.099490 0.179931 0.368483 0.998181
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026498 0.039138 0.060102 0.100900 0.189107 0.409035 1.230015
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025404 0.038024 0.059383 0.102121 0.198365 0.454018 1.530458
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024164 0.036572 0.057934 0.101701 0.203806 0.490763 1.843734
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023258 0.035622 0.057302 0.102873 0.213416 0.544622 2.333546
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022434 0.034748 0.056723 0.104074 0.223422 0.604923 2.990971
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021636 0.033862 0.056035 0.104936 0.232778 0.668219 3.845172
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020782 0.032815 0.054947 0.104755 0.239241 0.724521 4.837929
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019859 0.031587 0.053404 0.103330 0.241831 0.766949 5.872538
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019378 0.031134 0.053358 0.105428 0.255579 0.867896 8.277100
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018548 0.029984 0.051814 0.103711 0.257034 0.912237 10.147726
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018037 0.029404 0.051393 0.104724 0.267697 1.012386 14.330782
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017395 0.028537 0.050312 0.103939 0.272179 1.083184 18.971579